2018 Predictions
Who will hold their nerve at Carnoustie’s notoriously challenging 18th hole and win the Claret Jug in 2018? We’ve made our prediction by benchmarking the favourites for this year’s tournament against the average statistics of an Open winner.
According to our data, the golfer which most closely meets the criteria of an Open champion is Dustin Johnson, who has 81% compatibility with the average winner.
What makes an Open Champion?

% likely to win | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
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Dustin Johnson | 81% |
2 |
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Justin Rose | 79% |
3 |
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Adam Scott | 76% |
4 |
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Henrik Stenson | 75% |
5 |
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Jason Day | 75% |
6 |
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Bubba Watson | 73% |
7 |
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Tiger Woods | 73% |
8 |
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Tommy Fleetwood | 69% |
9 |
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Paul Casey | 64% |
10 |
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Rickie Fowler | 59% |
Dustin Johnson is a good bet to win whenever he plays. He’s such a strong golfer who has the power in his game to win on any course in any conditions. Dustin has been unlucky to win The Open on numerous occasions, most recently at St Andrews in 2015.
He knows how to play seaside courses and he’s got the perfect game for them. His wedge play and putting is much better these days, so he’s definitely a strong contender.
Dustin Johnson would be a worthy winner of The Open and he’s got a fantastic chance of being crowned champion. He’s challenged at previous Opens – he held his own until late on at St Georges and he was right in contention at St Andrews.
When he’s on top form, he can overpower golf courses like virtually no other player. His wedge play and approach play have improved massively, so I think he’s got a very good chance.