Compare The Open Champions

It’s the age-old question – what would be the outcome if Open winners from different decades faced off against each other? We’ve attempted to answer that question by comparing the statistics of past winners, to see who we think would come out on top. Find out who would win based on our data analysis!

McIlroy Vs. Clarke
2014

Rory McIlroy

2011

Darren Clarke

Mickelson Vs. Woods
2013

Phil Mickelson

2000, 2005, 2006

Tiger Woods

Nicklaus Vs. Woods
1966, 1978

Jack Nicklaus

2000, 2005, 2006

Tiger Woods

Lawrie Vs. Lyle
1999

Paul Lawrie

1985

Sandy Lyle

Faldo Vs. Norman
1987, 1990, 1992

Nick Faldo

1986, 1993

Greg Norman

Player Vs. Watson
1968, 1974

Gary Player

1975, 1977, 1980, 1982, 1983

Tom Watson

McIlroy Vs. Clarke
Rory McIlroy
Darren Clarke
2014 Year 2011
Northern Ireland Nationality Northern Ireland
271 Score 275
-17 Vs. Par -5
2 Margin of victory 3
£975,000 Prize Money £900,000
2 Eagles 2
20 Birdies 14
7 Bogey 11
0 Double Bogey 0
37 Fairways 23
66.00% % of Fairways 41.00%
327.8 Driving Distance 311.8
49 GIR 51
68.10% % GIR 70.80%
110 No. of putts 119
         
         
WINNER
McIlroy Wins!
Mickelson Vs. Woods
Phil Mickelson
Tiger Woods
2013 Year 2000, 2005, 2006
United States Nationality United States
281 Score 271
-3 Vs. Par -17
3 Margin of victory 5
£945,000 Prize Money £646,667
0 Eagles 1
16 Birdies 21
9 Bogey 6
0 Double Bogey 0
34 Fairways 49
61.00% % of Fairways 78.00%
275 Driving Distance 317
46 GIR 59
63.90% % GIR 82.43%
117 No. of putts 122
         
         
WINNER
Tiger Wins!
Nicklaus Vs. Woods
Jack Nicklaus
Tiger Woods
1966, 1978 Year 2000, 2005, 2006
United States Nationality United States
282 Score 271
-5 Vs. Par -17
1 Margin of victory 5
£7,300 Prize Money £646,667
WINNER
Tiger Wins!
Lawrie Vs. Lyle
Paul Lawrie
Sandy Lyle
1999 Year 1985
Scotland Country Scotland
290 Score 282
+6 Vs. Par +2
Playoff Margin of Victory 2
£350,000 Prize Money £65,000
         
         
WINNER
Sandy Wins!
Faldo Vs. Norman
Nick Faldo
Greg Norman
1987, 1990, 1992 Year 1986, 1993
England Country Australia
274 Score 274
-12 Vs. Par -13
2 Margin of Victory 4
£85,000 Prize Money £85,000
         
         
WINNER
Norman Wins!
Player vs. Watson
Gary Player
Tom Watson
1968, 1974 Year 1975, 1977, 1980, 1982, 1983
South Africa Nationality United States
286 Score 276
-1 Vs. Par -10
3 Margin of victory 2
£4,250 Prize Money £22,900
WINNER
Watson Wins!
Sources

Sources:
Wikipedia, Biography.com, theopen.com, golfstats.com, youtube.com, gettyimages.co.uk, individual golf fan sites.

Methodology:

Overall
To determine what makes ‘An Open Champion’ an average has been calculated across all previous Open winners for each available metric.

2018 prediction
A list of the current favourite golfers to win the 2018 Open was compiled.

There are 5 qualitative metrics for which we have applied a binary score of 0 or 1. If the golfers in 2018 favourites list matches the average they are given a score of 1, if not, a score of 0.
There are also 11 quantitative metrics for which we have applied a score depending on how close the 2018 favourites are to the average.
The scores for each category are then summed to give a total rating out of 16 categories for each player.
In order to achieve an overall prediction in terms of a percentage an average of the 16 ratings has been taken.

Disclaimer:
All visualisations based on data available online (June 2018).
GIR, Fairways Hit, Avg. drive and No. of Putts data only available since 1999.
2018 Open winner prediction based on methodology utilising available data.